PCs a Relic for the Smithsonian; Intel Paints a Bleak Picture

PCs a Relic for the Smithsonian; Intel Paints a Bleak Picture image PCs a Relic for the SmithsonianPCs a Relic for the SmithsonianPersonal computer (PC) sales are on the decline.

It’s clearly not a surprise whatsoever, as we have seen this trend developing for years following the major push of tablets into the marketplace, according to my stock analysis.

We have seen all of the PC makers report declining sales and the need to re-invent and adapt to the rapidly changing environment for mobile devices.

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ/INTC), which used to be an icon on Wall Street and in Silicon Valley, is succumbing to the mobile wave. And it’s only going to become a technological tsunami that could inevitably devastate the PC sector and drive industry changes in order for survival, based on my stock analysis. (Read “PC Sector Struggling; Time for One Last Goodbye?”)

PCs a Relic for the Smithsonian; Intel Paints a Bleak Picture image INTC Intel Corp Nasdaq stock market chartINTC Intel Corp Nasdaq stock market chart

Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

The results released from Intel on Tuesday support my argument.

Let’s take a look (source for all data: “Intel Reports First-Quarter Revenue of $12.6 Billion,” Intel Corporation web site, April 16, 2013):

Revenues from Intel’s once-thriving PC Client Group (PCCG) fell another six percent year-over-year to $8.0 billion in the first quarter, down 6.6% on a sequential basis.

My stock analysis indicates that volume in the notebook segment fell six percent year-over-year in the first quarter, while volume in the PC segment declined seven percent year-over-year.

But what was interesting was the Intel Architecture Group, which comprises the mobile business, including its tablet and smartphone business—areas that I feel will be critical for Intel to expand, based on my stock analysis.

The Intel Architecture Group accounted for a mere 8.5% of total revenues in the first quarter. My stock analysis suggests that what is worrisome is that this key mobile sector saw revenues contract nine percent year-over-year. According to my stock analysis, Intel will need to work on this segment.

Intel knows what is required.

In the company’s press release, Paul Otellini, the company’s president and CEO, said, “Intel performed well in the first quarter and I’m excited about what lies ahead for the company.” He added, “We shipped our next generation PC microprocessors, introduced a new family of products for micro-servers and will ship our new tablet and smartphone microprocessors this quarter.” (Source: Ibid.)

The tablet and smartphone microprocessors are the keys to the future growth of Intel and whether the company can inevitably become a major player in the mobile business.

In my view, the change and improvements will not occur overnight. It will likely take years for Intel to gain any momentum, and even this is not a guarantee, based on my stock analysis.

Over the next few quarters, watch to see if there’s progress in the mobile segment as new products come online; this will foreshadow whether the company is worth a look.

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