Over the past few months, it appears that the first-quarter economic growth spurt has begun to decelerate in America. This is troublesome, as stock market investors had anticipated that we would be seeing economic growth finally gain steam. Unfortunately, we don’t have the global economy on which to rely. Much of the world remains quite... More »Coast Isn’t Clear for America, Economic Growth Slowing
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So this is what it looks like when global investors take their eyes off the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing policy and focus on the real economy instead! As I’ve been predicting, the global sell-off of stocks looks like it’s beginning in earnest. And you can pinpoint the exact moment investors and economists around the world... More »Global Rout in Markets Gathering Momentum?
It turns out that May 22 was very critical for the key stock indices. But surprisingly enough, this wasn’t just the case for stock exchanges here in the U.S.—it was the same for the global economy, as well.Just take a look at the chart below: Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com At first, the chart above may... More »Soaring Key Stock Indices Headed Downward; How May 22 Changed Everything
Before analyzing a company for investment, it’s important to have a perspective on how well the business has performed. Because at the end of the day, if you are an investor, you are buying the business. The FAST Graphs™ presented with this article will focus first on the business behind the stock. The orange line... More »American Eagle Outfitters Inc: Fundamental Stock Research Analysis
All of you know how I feel about the Japanese stock market and the economy in general. Yes, I was wrong in the past when I suggested traders and investors stay away from the Japanese stock market. The benchmark Nikkei 225 has been the top performer this year; in fact, at one point on May... More »Abenomics: The Biggest Ponzi Scheme in History?
The equity market and other capital markets are gyrating on the rise in 10-year Treasury yields. There’s been a lot of unusual movement in currencies as well. Speculation regarding what the Federal Reserve is going to do about quantitative easing and the lull between earnings seasons are definitely factors. There is always equity market uncertainty... More »Action in Dow Jones Transports, Utilities Signaling Caution
Make no mistake about it. The wealth in America continues to rise as it is in other parts of the world. Fueling the creation of wealth has been the easy monetary policy, which has essentially pushed up the stock market to its record-highs. Now the economy is also on the mend; albeit, it has largely... More »Small-Cap Stocks the Place to Be—If Economic Growth Is Real
Finally, some good economic news is coming to the U.S. economy… The U.S. Census Bureau has reported that retail and food services sales for the month of May, adjusted for seasonal effects, increased 0.6% from April and 4.3% from the same period a year ago.(Source: U.S. Census Bureau, June 13, 2013.) This is the first... More »Finally Some Good News for the U.S. Economy?
Boy, were they wrong! Not so long ago, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said it expected the U.S. government to register a budget deficit in the current fiscal year of $642 billion. But hold on a minute… The budget deficit so far (as of May 31, 2013) has already hit $626.3 billion, and we still... More »Failed Projections or Just Another Government Lie? You Judge
About six months ago, Twitter launched a new video application called Vine. For those unfamiliar with the app, it allows users to create 6-second video clips that loop continually. Vines are really just an evolution of animated GIFs that have sound and are fully integrated with Twitter for easy broadcast and sharing. Last month, we... More »Are Banks Growing with Vine? Not Yet
Introduction “I think the market is overvalued now,” is a common refrain that I’m hearing from most of the individual investors I have recently been coming in contact with. Consequently, many of these same investors are also currently eschewing investing in common stocks because of that fear. Although I do not agree that the market... More »Searching For Value And Finding It In Today’s Market – Sector By Sector
The rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage has been creeping up higher and just broke the four-percent threshold. This is a telltale sign that higher financing rates are on the horizon. While there’s still hope that the Federal Reserve will hold off on reducing its bond buying at next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)... More »Investor Beware: Higher Interest Rates Looming
With the S&P 500 close to its all-time highs, a common question is: will we see a pullback or a continuation in the bull market? This is obviously a very complicated question to answer, as investor sentiment in the S&P 500 can shift extremely quickly. In addition, there is obviously no quantifiable method to predicting... More »Investor Sentiment Eroding Globally; Is America Next?
Generally speaking, by keeping focus on the long term, investors can grow their portfolio with peace of mind. When doing this, they are not concerned about what happens to their portfolio on a daily basis; rather, they are looking for performance at the end of the year, when it’s less stressful. That said, while not... More »Two Proven Short-Term Strategies for Long-Term Investors
The appetite that institutional investors have had to bid the stock market is diminishing. Earnings estimates for the second quarter are actually being trimmed by corporations and Wall Street. It makes for a genuinely peculiar environment for the stock market—share prices at their highs on declining expectations for corporate earnings. The lesson is clear: it... More »Crash, Down Quarter, Major Correction—It’s All in the Cards
Before analyzing a company for investment, it’s important to have a perspective on how well the business has performed. Because at the end of the day, if you are an investor, you are buying the business. The FAST Graphs™ presented with this article will focus first on the business behind the stock. The orange line... More »PVH Corp: Fundamental Stock Research Analysis
The recent weakness in many precious metals has led some to believe the investment opportunity in that sector is over. However, I don’t believe that’s true—not all of the precious metals have the same fundamental drivers and thus have had varying levels of performance. While some precious metals, such as silver, have dropped over the... More »Precious Metals: Down for the Count?
Standard & Poor’s, the credit rating agency, believes the likelihood of the U.S. credit rating being downgraded in the near term is less than 33% (one in three) and it has decided to keep its credit rating on the U.S. economy at AA+, slightly lower than the best investment grade. (Source: Standards & Poor’s, June... More »Number of S&P 500 Companies Reporting Negative Guidance a Red Flag